All posts by Adrian Beaumont
Labor likely to get a friendly Senate and secures House of Representatives majority
This article is republished from The Conversation under a Creative Commons license. Read the original article here. UPDATE: On Monday night, the ABC called Macnamara as a Labor hold, giving Labor 76 of the 151 House of Representatives seats, enough for a majority. In the two remaining undecided seats, Labor has taken a narrow lead…
Why Labor is likely to win a House of Representatives majority despite a 33% primary vote
This article is republished from The Conversation under a Creative Commons license. Read the original article here. With 73% of enrolled voters counted, the ABC is calling 73 of the 151 House of Representatives seats for Labor, 54 for the Coalition, 15 Others and nine in doubt. Labor is likely to win Lyons, while the…
Labor to form government as both major parties’ primary votes slump
This article is republished from The Conversation under a Creative Commons license. Read the original article here. This article was updated on Sunday morning. With 53% counted at Saturday’s federal election, the ABC is calling 72 of the 151 House of Representatives seats for Labor, 52 for the Coalition, two Greens and nine Others. 16…
Labor’s lead steady in Newspoll and gains in Resolve; how the polls moved during past campaigns
This article is republished from The Conversation under a Creative Commons license. Read the original article here. This week’s Newspoll, conducted April 27-30 from a sample of 1,538, gave Labor a 53-47 lead, unchanged since last week. Primary votes were 38% Labor (up one), 36% Coalition (steady), 11% Greens (steady), 5% One Nation (up two),…
Labor easily wins South Australian election, but upper house could be a poor result
This article is republished from The Conversation under a Creative Commons license. Read the original article here. With 54% of enrolled voters counted in Saturday’s South Australian election, the ABC is calling Labor wins in 25 of the 47 seats, enough for a three-seat majority. The Liberals have won nine seats and independents four. The…
Labor maintains big federal Newspoll lead and is likely to win in South Australia
This article is republished from The Conversation under a Creative Commons license. Read the original article here. This week’s Newspoll gives Labor a 55-45 lead over the Coalition, which is unchanged since the previous poll a fortnight ago. The poll was conducted from February 23 to 26 from a sample of 1,525 people. Coalition behind…
Mixed NSW byelection results do not imply voters in a ‘baseball bat’ mood
This article is republished from The Conversation under a Creative Commons license. Read the original article here. NSW state byelections occurred Saturday in the seats of Bega, Monaro, Strathfield and Willoughby. Labor gained Bega and held Strathfield, but the Nationals held Monaro. In Willoughby, the Liberals are likely to hold off an independent challenger. Current…
Coalition slumps in first poll of 2022 as voters lose confidence in Morrison’s handling of pandemic
This article is republished from The Conversation under a Creative Commons license. Read the original article here. In the first national poll of the new year, a Resolve survey for the Nine newspapers, Labor had 35% of the primary vote (up three percentage points since November), the Coalition 34% (down five), the Greens 11% (steady),…