All posts by Adrian Beaumont
Labor gains in Newspoll but Voice support slumps in other polls; NSW final results and Queensland polls

This article is republished from The Conversation under a Creative Commons license. Read the original article here. A federal Newspoll, conducted April 19-22 from a sample of 1,514, gave Labor a 56-44 lead, a one-point gain for Labor since the previous Newspoll, three weeks ago. Primary votes were 38% Labor (steady), 33% Coalition (steady), 11%…
Voice support increases in Essential and Resolve polls

This article is republished from The Conversation under a Creative Commons license. Read the original article here. In the latest Essential poll, support for the Aboriginal and Torres Strait Islander Voice to parliament increased slightly to 60-40, from 59-41 in March. But hard “no” support was up two to 26%, soft “no” was down three…
Labor slides in a federal Newspoll; NSW polls give Labor a modest lead

This article is republished from The Conversation under a Creative Commons license. Read the original article here. A federal Newspoll, conducted March 1-4 from a sample of 1,530, gave Labor a 54-46 lead, a one-point gain for the Coalition since the previous Newspoll in early February. Primary votes were 37% Labor (down one), 35% Coalition…
Lidia Thorpe’s defection from the Greens will make passing legislation harder for Labor

This article is republished from The Conversation under a Creative Commons license. Read the original article here. Senator Lidia Thorpe announced on Monday that she would be leaving the Greens. Thorpe had split with the Greens over the Indigenous Voice to parliament, which she opposes. Thorpe was elected at the May 2022 election as a…
Labor, Greens and Legalise Cannabis likely to have combined majority in Victorian upper house

This article is republished from The Conversation under a Creative Commons license. Read the original article here. There has been much more counting for the Victorian upper house since Saturday night, when under 30% had been counted in most of the eight regions. Five members are elected per region for a total of 40 seats,…
Final Victorian Newspoll gives Labor a large lead

This article is republished from The Conversation under a Creative Commons license. Read the original article here. The Victorian state election is today. There are 88 single-member lower house seats with members elected by preferential voting, and 40 upper house seats in eight five-member electorates. The election in the lower house seat of Narracan has…
Labor easily wins Victorian election; Greens on track to win four lower house seats

This article is republished from The Conversation under a Creative Commons license. Read the original article here. This article has been updated. With 53% counted in the lower house for the Victorian election, the ABC is calling 51 of the 88 seats for Labor, a clear majority. The Coalition has 23, the Greens five and…
Nine days from Victorian election, a new poll gives Labor a modest lead; US Republicans win House

This article is republished from The Conversation under a Creative Commons license. Read the original article here. The Victorian election will be held in nine days, on November 26. A Redbridge poll for The Herald Sun, conducted October 31 to November 6 from a sample of 1,189, gave Labor a 53.5-46.5 lead. Primary votes had…
Labor retains large lead in Victorian Resolve poll four weeks from election; also leads in NSW

This article is republished from The Conversation under a Creative Commons license. Read the original article here. The Victorian state election will be held in four weeks, on November 26. A Resolve poll for The Age, conducted October 20-24 from a sample of “more than 800”, gave Labor a 59-41 lead over the Coalition. Resolve…
Republicans gain in US midterm polls with three weeks until election

This article is republished from The Conversation under a Creative Commons license. Read the original article here. The United States midterm elections will be held in nearly three weeks, on November 8. All 435 House of Representatives seats are up for election, as well as 35 of the 100 senators. Democrats won the House by…